Why does Donald Trump want to take a gas and can he do it?

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Paul Adams

Diplomatic correspondent

Watch: Trump says we “can” take it “gas and restore it

Donald Trump shocked the world, suggesting that the United States could “conquer” and “own” gas, displacing its population to the process.

Later, the US President repeatedly repeated elements of the social media proposal, saying that Gaza would be “betrayed” to the United States from Israel under his plan.

The White House moved to clarify that the displacement of the Palestinians would be temporary as Secretary of State Marco Rubio described it as a “temporary” agreement.

But the proposal continues to be condemned, including from all over the Middle East, the closure of the US allies and the United Nations organization – and some analysts have expressed fears that Trump’s comments may destabilize the continued termination of fire between Hamas and Israel.

Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the idea “worth paying attention to”.

It comes against the background of continuous questions about the future after Gaza’s conflict, where the UN estimates about two -thirds of buildings have been destroyed or damaged after 15 months of fighting.

Trump’s vague proposal can signal the largest change in US policy in the Middle East for decades, proving to be a widespread international consensus on the need for a Palestinian state – including gas and the occupied West Coast – to exist with Israel.

Why did Donald Trump say this now?

If Donald Trump is right for one thing, it is that decades of US diplomacy to Israel and the Palestinians have failed to resolve the conflict.

The proposals and the presidents of peace have come and go, but the problems have been ignited. Hamas’s attack on Israel on October 7, 2023 and the Gaza War that triggered were the disgusting results.

Trump has made his millions as a property entrepreneur and with this hat made a completely valid monitoring: if the gas is to be restored, there is no point in scratch in some places to shelter in the ruins.

The task of restoring the gas will be monumental. Unemployed ammunition and mountains of debris must be removed. Water and power lines must be repaired. Schools, hospitals and shops must be restored.

Graph showing the amount of ruins in gas

Trump’s Middle East Middle East Steve Vikof said it could take years – and as it continues, the Palestinians will have to go somewhere.

However, instead of exploring ways to keep them near the home, almost certainly in the camps in the central and southern gaza strip, Trump says they should be encouraged to leave – constantly.

Trump believes that in their absence, the idyllic, American property “Riviera of the Middle East” will rise from the ashes, providing thousands of jobs, investment opportunities and ultimately a place for “world people to live”.

Why are Trump’s comments so controversial?

Where do I start?

Even for a president who spent much of his first term, exceeding the Middle East in the United States – including the relocation of the US embassy by Tel Aviv to Jerusalem and the recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the occupied Golan heights – it was an amazing proposal.

In his wildest imaginations, no president of the United States has never thought that resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict would involve the capture of part of the Palestinian territory and the expulsion of its population.

To be clear, to do this with force would be a serious violation of international law.

Some Palestinians are likely to choose to leave the gas and restore their lives elsewhere. Since October 2023, up to 150,000 already have.

But others cannot, no, because they lack the financial resources for it, or because their attachment to gas – part of the land they call Palestine – is just too strong.

Reuters Palestinians gathered on a ruined building in GazaReuters

UN estimates about two -thirds of buildings in gas are destroyed or damaged

Many gazan are descendants of people who escaped or were expelled from their homes in 1948 during the creation of the State of Israel – the Palestinians called Nakba, the Arabic word for a disaster.

The thought of another will be too painful for many and they will cling to their reduced life in what is left of gas with fierce determination.

For the Palestinians who dream of their own condition, along with Israel, the loss of some of it will feel like an amputation.

Gaza has been physically separated from the West Bank of 1948. The previous negotiations rounds, as well as Trump’s Peace Vision for Peace, have included plans for tunnels or railways that can connect the two.

Now Trump mainly tells the Palestinians to give up gas once and for all.

Although it does not seem to advocate for the forced deportation of civilians – which is against international law – Trump apparently encourages the Palestinians to leave.

Palestinian officials have already accused Israel of blocking the delivery of tens of thousands of caravans that could help the Gazanas remain in less damaged parts of the territory while the reconstruction is carried out elsewhere.

The Arab countries, which Trump say they have to accept up to 1.8 million refugees from Gazan, mainly Egypt and Jordan, have expressed outrage.

Both have enough problems, without this extra weight.

What is the current Gaza status?

Gaza has been occupied by Egypt for 19 years before being seized from Israel in the six -day war in 1967.

It is still considered occupied by Israel under international law, which Israel’s disputes. It says that the occupation was completed in 2005, when it unilaterally dismantled Jewish settlements and removed its military.

About three -quarters of UN members recognize Gaza as part of a sovereign state Palestine, although the United States does not.

A map showing gas, Israel, the occupied West Bank and other parts of the Middle East

Torn off the outside world from fences and Israeli marine blockade, it never felt like a really independent place.

Nothing and no one moved or went out without the permission of Israel, and the international airport was opened against the backdrop of many fanfare in 1998 – was destroyed by Israel in 2001 during the Second Palestinian Uprising.

Israel and Egypt imposed a gas blockade, citing security reasons after Hamas won the Palestinian elections in 2006 and dumped his rivals from the territory after intensive fighting next year.

Long before the last war, the Palestinians had come to look at Gaza for an open prison.

Can Trump take a gas if he wants?

It is understood that the US has no legal claim to the territory and it is not at all clear how Trump intends to impose US government.

As with his scourges claims to be controlled by the US over Greenland or the Panama Channel, it is not yet clear whether Trump really means it or whether the comments are an opening, an alien negotiating position before the bruising set of negotiations for the future of Gaza.

Various plans have been discussed for the post -war gas management.

In December, the two major Palestinian factions, Hamas and Fatah, agreed to conclude a joint committee to control his administration – an agreement that has not reached anything so far.

At other times, discussions focus on the creation of international peacekeeping forces, probably composed of troops from Arab countries.

EPA Donald Trump on a podium in front of the US and Israel flag during a press conference EPA

Trump made his comments in Gaza during a press conference in Washington on Tuesday

Last month, Reuters announced that the UAE, the US and Israel had discussed the formation of a temporary administration in Gaza, while the reformed Palestinian body (PA), which already had control in parts of the west coast, was not ready to take over.

However, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu before that publicly insisted that the BCP would not play a role in the management of the post -war gas.

In a limited sense, American boots are already on earth. An American Security Company has appointed about 100 former US Special Forces to manage a vital checkpoint south of Gaza and screen the vehicles of Palestinians returning north for weapons.

Egyptian security officers were also observed at the same checkpoint.

These may be the first, indicative signs of advanced international – and possibly led by the US presence in Gaza.

But this is hardly a swallow of the United States, something that would require a large -scale military intervention in the Middle East – the species Trump has long told voters that he wants to avoid.

Could there be consequences for the cessation of Israel’s fire?

Negotiations in the second phase of the two -week termination of fire between Israel and Hamas have hardly started, but it is difficult to see how the remarks of Trump’s bombs will help to progress.

If Hamas feels that the end product of the whole process is depopulated gas – devoid of not only Hamas but all Palestinians – it can be concluded that there is nothing to talk and hold on to the other hostages, which it took on October 7th 2023

Netanyahu’s critics accused him of seeking excuses to blow up negotiations and resume war. They are obliged to conclude that with these comments, Trump is a ready -made accomplice.

On the other hand, the right-wing supporters of the Israeli Prime Minister have expressed satisfaction with the US Angestion Plan, potentially reducing the risk of cabinet resignation and making Netanyahu’s immediate political future.

In this sense, Trump gave Netanyahu a powerful incentive to continue to end the fire.

Reuters Israeli military vehicles and construction equipment inside GazaReuters

The struggle between Israel and Hamas stopped after the fire was agreed, but the Israeli troops have not yet withdrawn

What did Donald Trump say about the west coast?

Asked if he agreed that the United States should recognize Israeli sovereignty over the occupied west coast, Trump said he had not yet taken a position, but that there would be a message to make in four weeks.

This note caused alarm among the Palestinians, for whom such a message would inevitably be regarded as another nail in the ark for a bilateral solution.

The recognition of the legitimacy of Israel’s settlements on the west coast would be an extremely subsequent move. Most of the rest of the world consider them illegal under international law, although Israel disputes this.

During previous rounds of peace talks, the negotiators acknowledged that Israel would stay on large settlement blocks as part of a final agreement, probably in the exchange of small pieces of Israeli territory.

In 2020, Trump mediated in the Abraham agreements that ensure the historical normalization of relations between Israel and two Arab nations, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain.

The UAE has signed that the Israel’s understanding agreement will not annex parts of the west coast – an understanding that can now be in danger.

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