How a pause of US intelligence affects Ukraine’s military operation

The exact importance of US intelligence about Ukraine’s military efforts for obvious reasons has never been written in detail.

But most analysts agree that he performs two important functions: it helps Ukraine plan offensive operations against Russian forces and give Kyiv the vital warning of threats caused by incoming Russian drones and rockets.

Satellite information and signaling of signals give the Ukrainian forces on the front line a sense of where the Russian forces are, their movements and probable intentions.

Without US intelligence, Ukraine will not be able to use such efficient use of Western long -distance weapons as the US Himars or Stormshadow rockets delivered from the UK and France.

In addition to the military applications, the constant flow of real -time information provided by Washington also gave military, critical national infrastructure to Ukraine and civilians, valuable advance information on incoming threats.

The sirens for the air attack of Ukraine and the mobile phone alerts are informed to a larger or smaller extent than the early warning data provided by US satellites that can detect planes and missile launches deep in the Russian territory.

Any prolonged interruption in US intelligence supplies can have a catastrophic impact on Ukraine’s ability to defend itself, especially since the Trump administration has already decided to stop vital military assistance.

A few months ago, Ukraine hoped that the delivery of additional air protection, especially the US Patriot missile defense system, would allow it to expand the protection to a larger number of potential goals, including cities and power plants across the country.

But now the delivery of the ukraine to Patriot missiles expires. The latest European promises to provide short and medium-range systems will help counteract some threats, but not against Russia’s most dangerous hypersonic ballistic missiles.

It is clear that the United States uses the detention of military assistance and intelligence as another – a dull – a diplomatic lever.

US National Security Advisor Mike Walz said military assistance to Ukraine could resume if Ukraine agrees to participate in the US -led diplomatic efforts.

“I think if we can hit these negotiations and move on to these negotiations … Then the president will look hard to raise this break,” he told Fox News.

The CIA director, John Ratcliffe, told Fox Business that the pause “will disappear”.

But it is clear what the White House wants from Ukraine President Volodimir Zelenski in return.