IBM’s CEO doesn’t think AI will replace programmers anytime soon

IBM CEO Aurobind Krishna says after the Trump administration Attack on GlobalismGlobal trade does not die. In fact, he thinks that the key to growth in the United States will accept international product exchange.

“So, I actually believe in Firm-I think it goes back to economists studying global trade in the 1800s-and I think their views were increased by 1% per local GDP,” Krishna said on SXSW on Tuesday while interviewing on SXSW. “So, if we want to make it really favorable for the local [growth]Your worldwide trade has been. “

Krishna said that the global trade goes together with the permission of foreign talent to flow to the United States. The administration and its associates have called for growing restrictions Student And H -1B Work VisaWhich they claim that our citizens have put a disadvantage.

Krishna said, “We want people here come here and bring their talents with them and apply that talent,” Krishna said. “And we also want to develop our own talent, but if you have not taken the best people around the world to learn from our people, you will not be able to develop it. So we should be an international talent center, and we should have the principles that can continue with it. “

During the extensive interview, Krishna touched not only geopolitics, but also in AI, which he thinks is a valuable technology-but there is no pancia. He does not agree with one DarioAnathropic CEO, 90% of the code AI wrote in the next three to six months.

“I think the number is going to be more than 20-30% code is written by AI-90% not” Krishna said. “Is there some simple use? Yes, but here there are equal complex numbers where it is going to be zero ”” “

Krishna said that he thinks that AI will eventually make programmers more productive, instead of removing programming jobs, increase the outputs of them and their employers, as some AI critics have predicted.

“If you can code 30% more with the same number of people, are you going to write more codes or get less?” He “Because history has shown that the maximum productive company acquires market shares and then you can produce more products that let you get more market shares” “

Grant, IBM has a self -interest in presenting AI as uninterrupted. The agency sells a range of AI-powered products and services with supportive coding equipment.

The statements are also somewhat opposite for Krishna, who said in 2021 that IBM The appointment has been planned to break In the back-office functions, the company that expects it to replace it with AI Tech.

Krishna compares the controversy over the AI ​​with the initial debate and the first debate with Photoshop about the replacement of mathematicians and artists who replace the staff. He acknowledges that there is a “unimaginable” challenge around the intellectual property where it expressed concern over AI training and results, but in the end the technology is a positive – and enhances – energy.

“This is a tool,” Krishna said about AI. “If the quality that everyone produces gets better by using these tools, even for the customer, you are now consuming better quality [products]The “

This tool will be cheap, Krishna predicted. When he mentions that the so -called rational models like OpenAI O 1 Lots of computing need and thus energy-intensive, he thinks AI will use “less than 1%” of forces that are using it today thanks for the emerging techniques displayed by Chinese AI Startup DipscThe

Krishna said, “I think DIPSEC has given us a preview that you can live with many smaller models.” “Now the question is still up, do you still need some really big models to get started? And i think it’s what it is [DeepSeek] Didn’t talk “

But when AI will make the product, Krishna is not sure it will help humanity reach new knowledge, echo Recent essay Embrace face co-founder Thomas Wolf. Rather, Krishna thinks quantum computing – a technology IBM is invested in large quantities, not for anything – the key to accelerating scientific discoveries will be.

Krishna said, “AI is learning from already produced knowledge, literature, graphics, etc.” “Not trying to determine what it will come […] I am the one who does not believe that the present generation of AI is about to call us artificial general intelligence, […] When AI all knowledge can be fully reliable and Einstein or OpenHimer or all Nobel Prize winners accountable by answering the questions outside them ”

Krishna’s statement stands opposite Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, who was one Articles at the beginning of this year It was said that the “superintelist” AI is in the field of possibilities in the next few years and can “accelerate” the innovation.