Russia is afraid of another loss in the Middle East of Iran’s conflict with Israel

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Steve Rosenberg

Russia

Reporting fromSt. Petersburg
Reuters Putin on the left shakes Ayatola Hamenei's hand. Both men smile. Putin is dressed in a sea suit, while Hamenei wears traditional Islamic clerical clothes and a black turban, along with glasses.Reuters

While Moscow has talked about her partnership with Iran, the deal does not require Russia to come to Iran’s military aid

When Israel launched Operation “Rising Lion”, employees in Russia defined the current escalation in the Middle East as “anxious” and “dangerous”.

However, the Russian media was in a hurry to emphasize the potential positives for Moscow.

Among them:

  • Raising the global oil prices that is expected to increase Russia’s crates
  • The distraction of global attention away from the war of Russia against Ukraine. “Kyiv was forgotten” was a title in Moscow Komsomoletti
  • And if the Kremlin’s proposal to mediate in the conflict, Russia can present itself as a key player in the Middle East and as a peacemaker despite his actions in Ukraine

The longer Israel’s military operation continues, the greater the realization that Russia has something to lose from current events.

“The escalation of the conflict carries serious risks and potential expenses for Moscow,” writes Russian political scientist Andrei Cortunov at Business Daily Kommersant on Monday.

“It remains the fact that Russia has not been able to prevent Israel’s mass strike in a country with which five months ago (Russia) signed a complete strategic partnership.

“Obviously Moscow is not ready to exceed political statements condemning Israel, it is not ready to provide Iran with military assistance.”

The Russian-Iranian strategic partnership deal, which Vladimir Putin and President Masud Petzshian signed earlier this year, is not a military alliance.

He does not oblige Moscow to come to Tehran’s defense.

At the time, however, Moscow spoke it.

In an interview with RIA Novoti news agency, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov noted that the agreement had paid “special attention to the strengthening of coordination in the interest of peace and security at the regional and global levels and desire of Moscow and Tehran for a narrower security and defense cooperation.”

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In the last six months, Moscow has already lost a key ally in the Middle East, Bashar al -Assad.

After the Syrian leader was overthrown last December, he was offered a refuge in Russia. The prospect of changing the regime in Iran, the thought of losing another strategic partner in the region will be of great concern for Moscow.

Commenting on the development in the Middle East on Tuesday, Moscow Komsomoletti concluded: “In global politics, huge real -time changes are currently underway, which will affect life in our country, directly or indirectly.”

Vladimir Putin will spend much of this week in St. Petersburg, where the city hosts its annual International Economic Forum.

Once the event was called “Davos of Russia”, but the label is not really applied now.

In recent years, the main executive directors of large Western companies have remained far away after Russia in the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Nevertheless, the organizers claim that representatives of more than 140 countries and territories will be present this year.

The Russian authorities will almost certainly use the event to try to demonstrate that attempts to isolate Russia during the war in Ukraine have failed.

An economic forum can be, but geopolitics is never far away.

We will look closely at the comments that the Kremlin leader makes for the Middle East and for Ukraine.

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