US allies break up with Trump to force a diplomatic change in gas

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Tom Bateman

State Department correspondent in the United Nations Organization

Watch: BBC Press the UK Foreign Secretary in time to recognize the Palestinian State

While Canada joins France and the United Kingdom in the announcement of plans to recognize the Palestinian state, the United States is firmly with Israel – but does Trump have a long -term plan for the future of Gaza?

Of all the declarations of the history of the Middle East, what may be less pointed out in the global collective memory, was in Tokyo in November 2023.

The then US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken set out a series of principles for the “day after” Gaza War at a G7 meeting, a group of the most powerful countries in the world.

He traveled there from Tel Aviv after meeting with Israel’s leadership a month after Hamas’ attacks on October 7, during the subsequent offensive of Israel’s Gaza.

Blinken listed what was the American conditions for the military goals of Israel and the broader conflict:

There is no violent displacement of the Palestinians. No Israeli resumption of gas after the war was over. There is no attempt to block or siege gas. Future government that must be led by Palestin, including internationally supported Palestinian power. There is no role for Hamas.

The principles were intended to generate support from US allies in Europe and parts of the Arab world – even if Israel objects to many of them. Few probably remember Blinken announces its principles in Tokyo “At least of the whole Trump administration, which immediately throws them away.

But ideas are still supported by many allies in the United States traveling to the United Nations organization in New York this week for a conference led by Franco-Saudi calling for a Keeping the solution in two conditions.

Watch: How did Gaza reach the edge of hunger?

The conference made titles like France, then the United Kingdom, committed to recognizing the Palestinian state later this year under certain conditions. On Wednesday afternoon Canada followed a suit. But Trump’s administration boycotted the meeting, considering it as anti-erasure.

“The United States will not participate in this insult, but will continue to make efforts in the real world to end the fight and to achieve constant peace,” said US State Department spokesman Tammy Bruce, ridiculed at the conference as “publicity points.”

A gap now opened between the US and its traditional allies for the future of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

This raises the question: Does the Trump administration have a vision for the future gas management and a long -term constant peace?

It is increasingly clear that it is not – at least not of their own. Earlier this month, I asked G -Ja Bruce what the administration’s vision for the future gas management, outside his requirement, that Hamas could not exist.

She replied that “countries, our partners in the region” are working to implement “new ideas” that the president asked for. When I pressed it to what it included, she said, “I won’t tell you today.”

Without Gaza ‘Riviera’ – but another plan uncertain

In February, President Trump said the United States would take the Gaza tape and build a “Riviera of the Middle East” A plan that included the forced displacement of the Palestinians in the territory that the US and Israel later tried to claim that it means “voluntary” emigration.

While the idea was obviously impossible and would be inside violation of international law, This seems to be Trump’s post -war plan. This would be supposed to include an Israeli military occupation of the strip to make it easier. It was unclear how continuous rebellion from Hamas or aligned armed groups would be defeated.

Since then, the plan has been slowly, quietly dropped – at least in its full shape. Asked Tuesday about his plan to move Palestinians Trump described him as “a concept that was indeed perceived by many people, but also some people did not like it.”

The latter was probably a reference to rejection by Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia and other countries in the Persian Gulf, which Trump visited in May for a lavish trade tour to take gilded palaces.

The administration prefers to talk about the immediate question: releasing hostages and getting fire. When Trump was again asked to look beyond this, during a recent visit to the White House by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, he immediately postponed the Israeli leader to answer.

This is increasing proof that the Trump administration strategy for gas is increasingly parallel to its Israeli ally.

Mr. Netanyahu rejects any participation of the Palestinian power in the future Gaza government, where his forces now control about two-thirds of the territory. The final right flank of his coalition requires a constant military occupation, the expulsion of the Palestinians and the construction of Jewish settlements.

Israel and the United States have tried to take control of the supply of food to the Palestinians within militarized areas, while Israel also arms Palestinian police officers who compete with Hamas. The international body that monitors the hunger, the classification of the integrated food security phase (IPC) said there is that there is that there is a mounting evidence of broad fastingmalnutrition and diseases in gas. Israel accused Hamas and the UN for the crisis, but said it was making more help.

Many European nations have watched Aghast. The United Kingdom Foreign Secretary, David Lamie, told me on Wednesday: “We saw the most terrifying scenes. The global community is deeply offended by shot and killed children as they reach for help.”

Hunger seems to be a point of folding European countries – a moral impetus to drive their different diplomacy. Internal pressure in the UK and France is also installed to recognize a Palestinian state under certain conditions.

Without a coordinated, internationally supported plan for future governance, Gaza faces the prospect of increasing chaos.

Reuters/Ronen Sun Smoke rises from gas while the sun sets as seen on the Israeli side of the border between Israel-GazaReuters/Ronen Sound

The smoke rises from gas as the sun sets, as seen on the Israeli side of the border of Israel-Gaza, July 30

Blinken was aware of this risk since the beginning of the war and headed between Arab countries that were trying to make them register for a future plan, including parts of the Palestinians and Arab countries providing security forces. He also intervened at least three times, forcing Israel to resolve more assistance in Gaza, twice using the threat of limiting US weapons to make his point.

There is no such pressure from the Trump administration, which has accelerated weapons to Israel since January.

The US has left what is a strategic vacuum on the long -term gas plan. Europeans working with the Arab Gulf Counts spent this week trying to fill it.

For them, without effective assistance, management and long -term peace plan, the impact on Earth will only get worse. They called this week about emergency help, supporting the Palestinian power and reviving work for the decision of two countries – even without the United States to register.

He raised years of a convention by which the great Western powers will recognize the Palestinian state only at the end of the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. The important thing is that their combined statement meant that Saudi Arabia, a leader of the Arab and Muslim worlds, joined the conviction of Hamas and called for his disarmament.

Now they are hoping their move, supported by Arab countries, pressing Trump back to a more well -established diplomatic process.

But their conference – which will meet again in September – works against all chances. The superpower seat is empty.

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