OpenAI Is Poised to Become the Most Valuable Startup Ever. Should It Be?

OpenAI is reported to be At the edge of the evaluation of about $ 500 billion, a figure that will make it the most valuable Non -governmental organization World -wise SpaceXTicket BidanceEven public giants like Palanti. It’s a “a wonderful number for a company including aBurn rate of astronomyThe “How is this possible?

As of the axis ReportThere are actually two agreements in the game: a softbank-leading round company makes $ 300 billion worth of $ 300 billion, which will not stop until the end of the year, and the selling of employees’ shares of shares of employees is a far-flop $ 500 billion evaluation. Most cheap shares have already spread, leaving investors to fight against the price.

An OpenAI investor – who spoke on condition of anonymity, quotes an NDA – it highlighted the dawn of the Internet. “We’re the biggest technology shift [in history]”Investor tells me.” The results tend to be larger than humans. “

The investor argued that the math for investment in $ 500 billion is straight: hypothetically, if the Chatzipt hit 2 billion users and monetary $ 5 per month – “half rate of things like Google or Facebook” – it’s $ 120 billion as annual revenue.

The investor says, “It will support the Trillion-Wide Dollar company alone, which is quite good return, just thinking about the ChatGP,” the investor said. “It does not include all the Enterprise Staff, all agents staff, hardware that they are working with.”

Trillion dollars

The $ 5 image is recognizedly, dumb-math math. Today, there is chatzipati 700 million weekly active usersAnd and and Paid for it less than 10 percent of themThe (Open is refused to comment on this figure.) Investors’ estimates are ambitious, and they seem to be a threat of major players like lunch in Google or Meta Open. “Now the half-trillion dollar question is how much OpenAI has achieved Open is the amount of it that has achieved it and at the same time will be able to bring its expenses at a point where it can actually cash. [hypothetically] $ 5 per month, “says Arun SundarajanA professor at the Starn School of Business at New York University.

The bet here is Openi the next Facebook or Google. To buy $ 1 billion for investors, “They are expecting an IPO on the trillion in two to three years, otherwise the return rate does not justify investment,” Glenn Okun, a business professor in NYO, also says. This means that it is almost overnight to jump into the top 10 valuable public organizations in the world. Investors say they have a long horizon than they are, but “of course,” of course the most intelligent path to the scale of an IPO company. ” Although investors have admitted, yes, the value of the company needs to be more than $ 1 trillion to make investment.

Unknown things happened – especially to the Open. The agency in the first seven months of 2025 Its estimate is doubled Annual income is from $ 12 billion, which suggests that the Open is coming up to about $ 1 billion per month. Enterprise adoption has also increased, reached 5 million Business users are being paid this month. Do not mention what Income of possible advertising Can do in the bottom line. To investors, these are the signs of a winning company: “People don’t like unprecedented things, because most people like to pattern-match,” said investor. “Everything that this company did was unprecedented, starting from its revenue growth in AI technology.”