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Economists at Stanford University has found the most powerful evidence yet Artificial intellect Some specific tasks are starting to remove. But the story is not so easy: young workers are being replaced by AI in some industries, more experienced workers have revealed new opportunities.
Stanford University Professor Eric Brinzolfson, research scientist Rui Chen and post-graduate student Bharat Chandar examined the largest pay-based ADP information in the United States in late 2022, when Chatzipt debuted.
Researchers Has discovered several strong signals On data – significantly matched the adoption of the generator AI in the sector to reduce the job opportunities of young workers in the sector Previously identified as weak for AI-powered automation (Think of the Customer Service and Software Development). In these industries they have decreased by 16 percent in employment of workers aged 22 to 25 years.
The new study reveals a brief image of AI’s influence on labor. When progressing Artificial intellect The jobs are often with horrific predictions about eliminating – it didn’t have too much data to back up. For example, relative unemployment for young graduates began to decrease around the present AI wave before the current AI wave. And the regions that may seem vulnerable to AI, such as translation, jobs have actually increased in recent years.
“It’s always hard to know [what’s happening] If you are just looking at a particular organization or listening to the episodes, “Brinzolfson says.” So we wanted to see it more regularly. “
By combining Pay -Row Data, the Stanford team has discovered that AI’s effects can do more than the kind of work they do with workers’ experiences and skills. The more experienced employees in the industry where the generator AI is being received from the job displacement was heated from the job displacement, the opportunities are flat or slightly increasing. Some software developers seek what is found before Told me about AI’s impact on their industryNamenamely has been automatically easier to do with any API connecting code to connect to any API. Stanford survey also indicates that AI is still removing jobs at least but not reducing wages.
Researchers considered potential misleading factors, including the Covid epidemic, the rise of remote work and the recent technology sector trim. They found that AI had an impact even after accounting for these reasons.
Brinzolfson says that this survey provides a lesson on how to maximize AI’s benefits across the economy. He has long suggested that the government can change the tax system so that it does not reward companies that replace labor with automation. He suggests the AI ​​companies to develop systems that give priority to human-mesin cooperation.
Another scientist from Brinzolfson and Stanford Andrew Haupt June argued that in a research paper The new “Center” of AI companies should develop AI benchmarks It measures human-i cooperation to encourage further focus on growth than automation. “I think there are still a lot of work where people and machines can be overcome [AI on its own]“Brinzolfson says.
Some experts believe that more cooperation between humans and AI can be a feature of the future labor market. Matt Bean, an associate professor of UC Santa Barbara studying AI-powered automation, says he hopes that AI boom will create demand for work-because operating AI’s output has become increasingly important. “We will automatically automatically automatically,” Bean says. “But that does not mean that there will not be a growing hill for a growing work for humans.”
Although AI is moving fast, and Brinzolfson warns that the impact on younger workers can spread more experience. “What we need to do is to create a dashboard start-meteorological system to help track it in real time,” he said. “This is a very resulting technology.”
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