How Trump provided a breakthrough of gas that escaped from Biden

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Anthony BolderNorth America and

Tom BatemanDepartment of State Department

The Trump images is on the left with his back to the camera, looking straight at Netanyahu, who is also with his back to the lens, looking to the left towards Trump. Both men have dark suits and white shirtsGhetto images

Side by side – Trump and Netanyahu

At that time, Israel’s air strike against the Hamas Negotiation team looked like another escalation that pushed the prospect of peace further.

The September 9 attack violated the sovereignty of an American ally and risks expanding the conflict in war throughout the region.

Diplomacy seems to be in ruins.

Instead, it turned out to be a key moment that led to a deal announced by President Donald Trump to release all other hostages.

This is a goal that he and President Joe Biden have been looking for nearly two years before.

This is just the first step to the last peace and the details of Hamas’s disarmament, the Gaza management and the complete withdrawal of Israel remain negotiated.

But if this agreement is held, it could be Trump’s signing from his second term – one that escapes from Biden and his diplomatic team.

The unique style of Trump and the decisive relationship with Israel and the Arab world seemed to have contributed to this breakthrough.

But, as with most diplomatic achievements, there were factors that play beyond the control of each person.

A close relationship that Biden never had

In public, Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are all smiles.

Trump likes to say that Israel has no better friend, and Netanyahu has described Trump as “Israel’s most large ally in the White House.” And these warm words are combined with actions.

During his first presidential term, Trump moved the US Embassy to Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem and abandoned a long -held position of the United States that Israeli settlements on the Palestinian West coast were illegal, the position of international law.

When Israel began its air strikes against Iran in June, Trump ordered US bombers to target nuclear facilities to enrich the nation with its most powerful conventional bombs.

Reuters a woman holding a flower seems overcome by emotion as the crowds behind Wave USA and Israel's flagsReuters

Israeli waves national and American flags after news on the agreement

These public demonstrations of support may have given Trump more exertion on Israel behind the scenes. According to Trump’s negotiator, Steve Vikoff, Browbeat Netanyahu, at the end of 2024, to accept a temporary termination of fire in exchange for the launch of some hostages.

When Israel began strike against the Syrian forces in July, including a bombing of a Christian church, Trump pressed Netanyahu to change the course.

Trump has shown a degree of will and pressure on the Israeli Prime Minister, who is practically unprecedented, says Aaron David Miller of the Carnegie Fund for International Peace. “There is no example of an US president who literally tells the Israeli Prime Minister that you will have to consider or else.”

Biden’s relationship with the Netanyahu government has always been lighter.

The “bear hug” strategy of his administration claims that the United States must adopt Israel publicly to allow it to moderate the nation’s military behavior.

Under this was almost half a century of support for Israel, as well as sharp divisions within his democratic coalition for the war in Gaza. Every step that Biden took the risk of destroying his own internal support, while Trump’s Solid Republican Base gave him more space to maneuver.

After all, domestic policy or personal relationships may have been less important than the simple fact that during the Presidency of Biden Israel he was not ready to make peace.

Eight months in Trump’s second term, with Iran, which was necessary, hezbollah to its immediate north significantly reduced the gas in ruins, all major strategic goals were achieved.

Business history has helped to secure the Gulf Support

The Israeli rocket attack in Doha, where they killed a Qatar citizen, but no Hamas employee, prompted Trump to issue an ultimatum to Netanyahu. The war had to stop.

Trump had given Israel a relatively free hand in Gaza. He granted US military forces to Israel’s campaign in Iran. But an attack on Qatar soil was a completely different question that directed it to the Arab position on how best to end the war.

Several Trump employees have told a BBC partner partner that this is a turning point that the President’s President will make maximum pressure to achieve a peaceful deal.

Syrian President of Reuters Ahmed al-Sharaa walks on a red carpet after removing an airplane in Doha before the emergency summit of Arab-Islamic leadersReuters

Emergency Arab meeting took place in Doha after attack

The close ties of this US president with the Gulf countries are well documented. He has a business relationship with Qatar and the UAE. He began both his presidential conditions with state visits to Saudi Arabia. This year he also stopped in Doha and Abu Dhabi.

His agreements by Abraham, which normalized relations between Israel and several Muslim countries, including the UAE, were the biggest diplomatic achievement of his first term.

The time he spent in the capitals of the Arabian Peninsula earlier this year has helped change his thinking, says Ed Husain of the Foreign Relations Council. The US President did not visit Israel in this trip to the Middle East, but visited the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, where he heard repeated calls to end the war.

Less than a month after this Israeli doha strike, Trump was sitting nearby until Netanyahu personally called Qatar to apologize. And later on the same day, the Israeli leader signed the 20 -point peace plan of Trump for Gaza -the one who also had the support of key Muslim nations in the region.

If Trump’s relationship with Netanyahu gave him the room to put pressure on Israel to make a deal, his story with Muslim leaders may have secured their support and helped them persuade Hamas to engage in the deal.

“One of the things that made it clear was that President Trump was developing leverage with Israelis and indirectly with Hamas,” says John Alterman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSI).

“This made a change. His ability to do so at the time and not succumb to the wishes of the fighters is a problem that many previous presidents are fighting and he seems to be able to handle relatively successfully.”

The fact that Trump is much more popular in Israel than Netanyahu himself was a leverage he uses in his favor, he adds.

Israel is now committed to releasing more than 1,000 Palestinians held in Israeli prisons and agreed to partially withdraw from Gaza.

Hamas will release all the other hostages, alive and dead, taken during Hamas’s initial attack on October 7, which led to the deaths of more than 1,200 Israelis.

The end of the war, which led to the devastation of the gas and the death of over 67,000 Palestinians, is now being introduced.

Europeans exercise their influence

Israel’s global condemnation of his actions in Gaza also weighing Trump’s thinking.

The conditions on the spot are unprecedented with regard to the destruction and the humanitarian disaster for the Palestinians. In recent months, the Netanyahu government has become increasingly insulated internationally.

As Israel took on military control over food supplies to the Palestinians and then announced a planned attack on Gaza, several great Europeans led by French President Emmanuel Macron have decided that they cannot remain in line with Washington’s position for unambiguous support for Israel.

Reuters women and children peek out the window of a stone building. There are carpets draped through the window and hanging from the ceiling.Reuters

Palestinians look from a window in the gas after the message of the fire

There was a historical split between Americans and European allies when it came to key elements of diplomacy and the future of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The Trump administration casts France when he said he would recognize the Palestinian state, a move followed by the United Kingdom. They were trying to preserve the idea of ​​a bilateral life support solution, but more casually marginalized the extremes on both sides and revive a diplomatic path to a shared Israeli-Palestinian future.

But Macron is astonished at putting the Saudites aboard for his peaceful plan.

In the end, Trump was facing a European-arab alliance against Israeli nationalists and the far right when it came to visions of the long-term future of Gaza. He chose his friends in the bay.

According to the Franco-Saudist peace plan, the Arab countries also issued an unprecedented condemnation of Hamas’s attacks on October 7 and called on the group to terminate their Gaza rule and to hand over their weapons to Palestinian power in independent statehood.

It was a diplomatic victory for the Arabs and Europeans. Trump’s 20-point plan was included in the French-Saudi plan in key areas, including a reference to the possible Palestinian “statehood”, even if it was unclear and highly conditional.

Trump, while asks Turkey, Qatar and Egypt, to maintain pressure on Hamas, boxing in Netanyahu, putting unprecedented pressure on him to end the war.

No one can be a country to tell Trump.

Trump’s unique style unlocked impasse

Trump’s unorthodox mode still has the ability to shock. It starts with Bluster or Bombast, but then develops into something more conventional.

In his first term, his warnings, The Little Rocket Man, and the Wire and Furness warnings, seemed to take the United States to the brink of war with North Korea. Instead, he was dealing with direct conversations.

Trump launches his second term with an attractive view that Palestinians should be required to move from gas as he was turned into an international resort on the ocean.

Muslim leaders were angry. The forged diplomats from the Middle East were delightful.

However, Trump’s 20 -point peace plan is not as different from the type of deal that Biden would achieve and that the allies of America have long approved. The Riviera Gaza Plan was not.

Trump took a very unconventional path to a conventional result. It was scattered. It may not be how they teach diplomacy at Ivy League universities. But at least in this case and at that moment it was effective.

Tomorrow the Nobel Committee will announce this year’s winner of the Peace Award. And while Trump is unlikely to be the recipient, this perspective does not seem as unlikely as a few weeks ago.

Additional reporting by Kayla Epstein

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