Trump’s role in ending Gaza’s fire was crucial but not a road card for peace

Donald Trump’s quick journey to Israel and Egypt was the tour of the victory he wanted.

Anyone who watches the statements he gave to Jerusalem and Sharm El -Sheikh could see a person who unbuttoned his power – enjoying the applause in Israel’s parliament and in Egypt, based on the fact that so many state and governments were incorporated.

A veteran diplomat in the room said it seemed as if Trump sees the role of world leaders there as the extras of his film set.

In fact, Trump’s message to Sharm was that he created a historically turning point.

“Everything I’ve done all my life is deals. The biggest deals just happen … It happened here. And maybe it’s the biggest deal of them all,” he said.

Observers may also be impressed by the statements that the work is done. Not so.

Undoubtedly, Trump may request a loan for the transaction to terminate the fire and the hostage. Qatar, Turkey and Egypt used their lever with Hamas to force it to accept.

This made it a joint effort, but Trump’s role was decisive.

Without his impetus to demand the agreement of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with the conditions he had previously rejected, the deal would not have been signed.

It helps to recognize what the deal is – and what it is.

The agreement was to end the fire and an exchange of hostages for prisoners. This is not a peace agreement or even the beginning of the peace process.

The next phase of Plan of 20 points per Trump Requires an agreement to fill the omissions on the frame, which declares that the Gaza Strip will be demilitarized, secured and managed by a committee, including Palestinians.

He will report to the Peace Council chaired by President Trump. A significant work on the workpiece needed to happen to happen.

The Gaza Agreement is not a route to peace in the Middle East, the final and so far inaccessible destination.

Just as serious, there is no evidence of the political will needed to make a true peace deal. Most wars end with exhausted warrior who conclude an agreement. The Gaza War has become one of those, if, as Trump has declared, it is really over.

The other way of ending war is a complete victory that allows the winners to dictate the way forward. The best example is the unconditional transmission of Nazi Germany in 1945.

Before 9 September when Netanyahu arranged a rocket strike on Qatar He seems to still intend to crush Israel’s enemy so exhaustively that Israel will be able to dictate the future of Gaza.

The strike angered Trump.

Qatar is one of the key allies of America in the region and the site of the largest US military base in the Middle East. This is also a place where his sons make a lucrative business. Trump rejected Netanyahu’s justification that the goal that was missed was Hamas’s leadership, not Qatar.

For Trump, America’s interests come before Israel’s. He is not like Joe Biden, who was ready to accept America’s position in the region as the necessary price to support Israel.

Trump returns to Washington. Diplomats say Americans realize that arrangement of workpiece is vital and will not happen quickly. The problem is that they may not have enough time.

The termination of fire is always disturbed in its early stages. Those who survive tend to be based on strict agreements made by warring parties who have decided that their best option is to make them work.

The danger is that the cessation of the gas fire is lacking these foundations. Just 24 hours after the Israelis and the Palestinians, for many different reasons, they shared the joy and relief that the hostages, prisoners and detainees were at home, and cracks appear in the cessation of the fire.

So far, Hamas returned only four of the bodies to the 28 hostages who were killed during deprivation of imprisonment. His explanation is that it is very difficult to find their graves in the sea of ​​the ruins that Israel created in Gaza.

Israel’s patience is thin.

The fate of the hostage bodies will become a greater and greater problem in Israel if their remains are not repatriated.

As a first answer, Israel said that while Hamas fulfilled his duties, he would reduce the flow of aid in Gaza Half and would not reopen the border crossing of Gaza with Egypt – the intersection of Rafa.

He has been uncomfortable, the extremist ultranationalist finance minister of Israel, who opposes the deal with a gas published on social media that “only military pressure returns hostages.”

Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) still occupy 55% of the Gaza Strip. This morning, her soldiers killed the Palestinians, whom they said they were approaching their forces. The Palestinian Gaza Civil Protection told the BBC that seven people were killed in two incidents.

IDF may still follow the engagement rules it uses before the fire is terminated. They order the troops to observe two imaginary lines around their positions. If a person is crossed, they shoot warning photos. If the Palestinians continue to approach their positions and cross a second imaginary line, IDF troops can shoot to kill.

A big problem with the system is that Palestinians do not know where the lines are. This is the control of the crowd with live fire.

As for Hamas, he confirms his power.

His men, armed and masked are again on the street. He has attacked rival armed clans, some of which are protected by IDF. Videos have been distributed by Hamas, who killed their eyes and kneeling men who have accused of collaboration with the Israelis.

The ominous videos of out -of -court executions on the street send a message to all Palestinians who want to confront them that they should not dare – and in the outside world that Hamas survived the pressure of Israel.

Point 15 of Trump’s Gaza Plan says the United States “will work with Arab and international partners to develop temporary international stabilization force (ISF), which will immediately unfold in gas.” The increase and unfolding of this power will be impossible if the cessation of the fire is not solid. Potential associates will not send their troops to use power to disarm Hamas.

Hamas hinted that he could give up heavy weapons, but would not be disarmed. He has an ideology of Islamic resistance to Israel and knows that without weapons, his Palestinian enemies will come for revenge. Netanyahu threatened that if no one else would do it, Israel would finish the job. Hamas’s weapons have to go, he said, “the easy or difficult way.”

Trump has announced that his gas deal, as it seems, will end a generation of conflict between the Arabs and the Jews above the ground between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean. He also insists that this will lead to wider peace in the Middle East.

If he really believes that Mira’s work is done, then he is mistaken. Only attempts need a constant focus, a firm diplomatic work and a decision of both sides in the fight that it was time to make painful victims and compromises. To make peace, other dreams must be thrown away.

Past US presidents also believe that they can make peace in the Middle East. Trump will find that peace is not achieved just because the president, however powerful it may decide, that this will happen.