Inertia is the power of Trump Gaza’s plan, but the lack of details is his weakness

Donald Trump’s framework agreement to end the war in Gaza and the reconstruction of the devastated territory is inertia behind it.

Much of the president himself. The inertia also comes from leading Arab and Islamic countries, which have supported the plan, including Jordan, Egypt, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Pakistan, Indonesia and Turkey. And Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who stood next to Donald Trump, also accepted him, despite the fact that he contained conversations about a path to a Palestinian state, which he repeatedly condemned.

To maintain the pace, Trump says Hamas has “three to four days” to decide whether to say yes or no.

If not, the war continues.

The proposed deal seems like a plan represented by Joe Biden more than a year ago. Since then, there has been a mass murder of Palestinian civilians, more destruction in gas, and now hunger, while the Israeli hostages in Gaza had to withstand months more agony and captivity.

There were many reports in the Israeli media that the Biden initiative failed because Netanyahu moved the goals of the goals with a new set of demands – under pressure from the firm law in his office.

However, the framework plan is an important point. For the first time, Donald Trump puts pressure on Israel to end the war. Donald Trump has become a leader who is hard to say no. Nobody wants to receive baking president Ukraine Volodimir Zelenski in the Oval Office in February. But things can change when the leaders leave the White House.

Before Benjamin Netanyahu left Washington DC to return to Israel, his employees filmed him by placing his version of events. One of the elements was the idea of ​​an independent Palestine to Israel, the decision of two countries that the United Kingdom and other Western countries tried to revive, recognizing Palestine.

Trump’s document gives an indefinite nod to the idea of ​​Palestinian Independence. It says that after the reform of the Palestinian power, based in Ramala and led by President Mahmoud Abbas, the conditions “can finally be in place of a reliable path to the Palestinian self-determination and statehood that we recognize as the pursuit of the Palestinian people.”

Even the thought of a long -term perspective on the Palestinian state was too much for Netanyahu, who had gained overall support to Trump in the White House, telling him in English, “I support your plan to end the Gaza war that achieves the goals of our war.”

In the video, taking his message to Hebrew to the people at home before a long flight home, Netanyahu was asked if he agreed with a Palestinian state. He was adamant.

“No, absolutely not. This was not even written in the agreement. But we said one thing. It would forcibly oppose the Palestinian state.” Trump, he said, agreed.

Inertia is the power of the plan. His weakness is the lack of details, a characteristic of Trump’s diplomacy. The document that Trump and Netanyahu approved, which also has the support of the United Kingdom and other European countries, is offered with a rough map of the IDF withdrawal stages, but none of the nuts and bolts that determine whether diplomatic agreements intended to end the war, hold together or disintegrate.

If you have to work, negotiations will be needed. There will be many opportunities in this process to fall apart.

The main opposition parties in Israel have approved the plan. He was condemned by extremist ultra -nationalists in the Netanyahu coalition, who loved the Trump Riviera Plan, intensified earlier this year, launched with a bizarre video showing Israeli and US leaders, drinking cocktails on the backdrop. The Israeli hard right was glad that the Riviera plan included the removal of all more than two million Gaza Palestinians. Jewish extremists want the annexed land and the Palestinians to be replaced by Jewish settlers.

The new plan says that no Palestinian will be forced to leave. The unleashed, the ultranationalist finance minister and the settlement leader compared it to the Munich Agreement, signed this week in 1938 in Munich Britain and France forced Czechoslovakia to convey territory and not after their independence in Nazi Germany.

If Hamas accepts the agreement and if Benjamin Netanyahu wants to find ways to put the other extremists who hold his coalition in power, he will have a lot of chance to sabotage negotiations on ways that make the blame on Hamas. The structure of Trump’s framework agreement allows Israel a number of opportunities to veto movements it does not like.

It may not be possible to end the deep conflict, which has lasted for more than a century. The longer -term plan, the United Kingdom and many countries outside Israel and the United States believe that any experienced decision that does not lead to the independence of the Palestinian will not bring peace.

When the foreign ministers of the Arab and Islamic countries issued their statement of support, they said they would believe that it would lead to a complete withdrawal of Israel and restoration of gas, and a “path for only peace based on a decision of two countries, with Gaza fully integrated with the west coast in the Palestinian state.” This can be considered as a coded reference to the International Court of Justice that the occupation of Palestinian land by Israel is illegal.

Netanyahu believes that the deal takes him closer to Israel’s elusive victory over Hamas. He denies every Palestinian right on the ground between the Jordan River and the sea.

One plan, two very different versions of what it means. The frame is ambiguous enough for both interpretations to be possible. This is not a promising start.