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US President Donald Trump (R) and Russian President Vladimir Putin talk during their meeting on the sidelines at the Hamburg Summit in Hamburg, Germany, on July 7, 2017.
Mikhail KlimpenTIEV | AFP | Gettty images
In the title times – with the commercial wars dominating the news agenda – it is easy to forget that the soldiers of Russia and Ukraine continue to fight for every inch of the front territory in Ukraine.
The conflict in Gaza, the ongoing economic uncertainty in the US and Europe and the shifting geopolitical landscape with the strengthening and opposition of the “power axes” are also at the forefront of the global minds of politicians, pushing for more than three and a half years in Ukraine down the agenda.
It seems increasingly often that both Russia and Ukraine are left in the cold, even with conversations this week in Istanbul, including negotiations for teams from both sides, and are barely mentioned in the media. While things are, there is restless air when it comes to the direction of war and the prospects of peace.
Trump seems to have lost his patience when on July 14, he stated that Ukraine could receive more weapons made by the United States-Stiga NATO Allies to pay for them-and He gave Russia a 50-day deadline to achieve a peace deal with Ukraine. If not, he said, Russia will face “very heavy” sanctions and “secondary” rates up to 100%.
They could hit Russia hard as well as their other trading partners, including India and China, who buy Russian oil and gasamong other goods.
Russian WildCard
As long as things are, Russia has until September 2 to show seriously on the termination and peace plan – which has made little progress, Despite some agreements on prisoners’ swapsS
Analysts are skeptical that the threat of more sanctions will move Russian President Vladimir Putin to come to the negotiating table in good faith, let alone talk to Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski.
There is a stretch between Trump’s request for a peaceful deal and any additional sanctions, said Mikola Bieriov, a research associate at the National Institute for Strategic Research of Ukraine.
“The Kremlin is usually concerned with the fact that the United States under Trump is incapable of systematic policy to support Ukraine and put pressure on Russia,” Bieleskov told NBC News earlier in July.
Photo of the file: US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin hold a bilateral meeting at the G -20 Leaders Summit in Osaka, Japan, on June 28, 2019.
Kevin Lamark | Reuters
“Serious secondary sanctions require a willingness to quarrel with China and India, which buy raw materials from Russia,” he noted.
“In the same way, as far as weapons are concerned, the speed and volume of supply here and now matter. Therefore, there are many known unknowns. And I think Russia can believe that the United States will not dare to impose secondary sanctions on Russian trading partners,” he added.
Ukraine, in terms of the mercy of the United States and the European Great, when it comes to arms supplies, shows more desire to negotiate in recent months, calling together with Trump, for ending the fire with Russia, which has remained unanswered.
He also wants to compromise, even when it comes to retreating an occupied Russian Ukrainian territory in Moscow, if it has received something from a “sacred grail” for the country: NATO membership.
In this air view, the ruins of the destroyed buildings can be seen in the city of Wasiv Yar at dawn on July 24, 2025 in the Waste Yar, Donetsk Owl, Ukraine.
Libkos | Getty Images News | Ghetto images
But there is a small sign that Russia that makes small but gradual profits on the battlefield because of its power from recruitment and intensive drones warfare would wish to accept guarantees of security, backed up for Ukraine, in any form.
Terrification of Ukraine
The worsening of things about Kiev is increasing the excitement at the internal level, with fears about the continuation of military situation, the lack of elections and the leadership of the War Time in Zelenski.
The protests erupted in Kiev last week against the backdrop of a reaction against the government to limit the independence of two anti -corruption agencies. The best EU politicians expressed horror on the move to the exit PoliticoSaying that this shows a lack of commitment to pursuit of European democratic values. Fighting what is endemic corruption in Ukraine is seen as a prerequisite for EU membership that Kiev longs.
Protesters hold posters during a rally against the law that limits the independence of the institutions to combat corruption on July 23, 2025 in Kiev, Ukraine.
Global images Ukraine Global images Ukraine Ghetto images
Government change in mid -July also nourishes that Zelenski concentrates power among loyalists, which can also ignite concerns among the international supporting and benefactors of Ukraine.
Ukraine enters a “critical phase of internal consolidation against the backdrop of increasing external uncertainty”, according to Tatiana Stanova, a senior associate at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center and the founder of the political analysis company, P. politician.
“The latest developments of Battlefield coincide with a new American posture: Donald Trump has chosen a tactical delay in the decisive commitment by retreating operationally while transferring financial and political responsibilities in Europe, “she said in the comments by email this week.
“In the meantime, Kiev is using this interim to calibrate internally. The recent government is being redirected … It emphasizes the intention of the Zelenski administration to strengthen political control and to maintain cohesion to the installation pessimism, institutional inertia and the enhancing work crisis,” she added.
Despite the increase in Western anxiety regarding the internal trajectory of Ukraine, Stanova noted that “international support is becoming increasingly transactional, aimed mainly at maintaining the front line rather than raising democratic reform.”
