Time can run out for Macron watch master: What next for France?

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Paul KirbyDigital editor of Europe and

Laura Gotzi

Emmanuel Macron's Reuters Head seems to be seriousReuters

After eight years, Emmanuel Macron’s position, as president, fell under more and more pressure as France’s political crisis escalates.

Macron once called himself Watchmaker – Watchmaker – but his time command is not what he was. For the third time in a year, his election as a Prime Minister resigned and public opinion studies suggest that almost three-quarters of voters believe that the president should withdraw.

Longtime ally édouard Philip, who was Macron’s first Prime Minister in 2017-20, called on him to appoint a Technocrat Prime Minister and to call the presidential election in a “tidy manner”.

How did we get here?

Prime Minister Sebastien Directu announced his resignation at the beginning of political drama on Monday after only 26 days in work.

Hours later, he said he had accepted Macron’s request to stay for another 48 hours to make talks about the last moat with political parties “about the stability of the country”.

The unexpected twists were the latest in a long series of cataclysms that began with Emanuel Macron’s decision to call immediate parliamentary elections in June 2024. The result was a suspended parliament in which Macron’s centrist partners lost their majority and had to seek alliances with other parties.

The leader of one of these parties, Bruno Retail of the Conservative Republicans, withdrew from the Government of Dephers 14 hours after its announcement.

EPA newspapers with titles reflecting the political crisisEPA

Public opinion polls suggest that nearly three -quarters of voters believe Macron should withdraw

It’s all about France’s debt

The big challenge for Guard and his two predecessors is how to deal with the crippling national debt of France and to overcome the ideological divisions between the central parties that could be part of the government.

Earlier this year, public debt amounts to 3.345 billion euros, or almost 114% of economic production (GDP), the third highest in the euro area after Greece and Italy. It is envisaged that France’s budget deficit this year will reach 5.4% of GDP.

Michel Barnier and Francois Bairu continued for only three and nine months, respectively, before being removed with votes of trust, as they tried to cope with the deficit with budgets for strict savings.

Lecornu didn’t even reach a budget plan. Criticism poured from all sides as soon as he introduced his office on Sunday afternoon, and by Monday morning he decided that his position was untenable.

He accused his departure in the stationary position of parties, which, he said, “everyone behaves as if they had a majority.”

All parties have a look at the next presidential votes in 2027 and they are also preparing for the possibility of parliamentary elections in the event that Macron opened parliament again.

What are the key figures in this crisis?

The leaders who are urging Macron to resign for months are in the hard and radical left.

Marine Le Pen and her young lieutenant at the far -right national rally Jordan Bardela are ready for elections and refused Lecornu’s invitation to speak.

Jean-Luc Melenenishon of the radical left France does not give up (LFI) is agitated for Macron’s impeachment, although this seems unlikely. It is supported by the Greens.

Olivier Faure’s central socialists were linked to the radical left during the last election, but spoke with a horn, provided that it formed a left government.

At the time, he was Gabriel Atal, who led Macron’s own central Renaissance party, but said he no longer understood the President’s decisions.

And in the center of the right is Bruno Deptile, whose Republicans were part of the so -called Socle Commun (common platform) with the Centers.

Reuters Smile Marine Flax and Jordan Bardela walk down the streetReuters

SNAP elections will be beneficial for the Marine Le Pen Hard Right Right Relief

What is happening now?

Lecornu is in depth in discussions with party representatives and has to present Macron’s “Platform of Action and Stability” by Macron until Wednesday evening.

There are four options – and none of them look good.

  • If Lecornu manages to persuade the central parties to set up a government, then Macron will be able to name a new Prime Minister, whoever it is. Guard said he did not want to take the job, although this was not final. The ratings are not great. When he resigned on Monday, Guard said, “I was ready for compromise, but all countries wanted the other party to accept its programs completely.” But France has to go through a budget from 2026 to deal with its national debt and the factions know this.
  • If Lecornu failed, Elysee indicated that Macron would “take responsibility”. This would probably mean fresh parliamentary elections that would write bad news about his centrist allies and socialists, but would take advantage of Marin Le Pen’s hard national rally. The election will have to be held for a maximum of 40 days after the termination of parliament – which would mean a vote in November.
  • Macron’s presidency ends in 18 months, but he is facing increasingly more recent calls. He repeatedly rejects the early presidential election, but this is not excluded. Former Minister of Macron Benjamin Hadad claims that his resignation makes no sense, as the next president will simply face the same problem: “The political division is here to stay.”
  • Even without a government agreement, the parties could put aside their differences in parliament and compromise with a limited budget. But French politics is not known for its compromise culture.

Is Macron running out of the way?

After his third Prime Minister, last year announced his resignation on Monday, Macron went for a long walk along the River Seine, his mobile phone to his ear.

Cascade for cameras? Maybe, but it was symbolic of the lonely nature of his position, as he was confronted with some of the most difficult elections of his presidency and some of his former allies seem to be abandoned.

But the president will know for some time from the political challenges ahead and he is not a person to give up without a fight – Or another offer to stabilize an increasingly non -fascinated France. It makes sense that time can run out for the lord of the clocks.

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