What are the worst scenarios?

So far, the fight between Israel and Iran seems limited to both nations. The organization of the United Nations and elsewhere has widespread calls for restraint.

But what if they fall on deaf ears? What if you are fighting and expanding?

Here are just a few possible, worst scripts.

For all US denials, Iran clearly believes that US forces have been approved and at least silently support Israel’s attacks.

Iran could hit the US goals in the Middle East – as Special Forces Camps in Iraq, military bases in the bay and diplomatic missions in the region. Iran’s proxito forces – Hamas and Hezbollah – can be very reduced, but his supporting militias in Iraq remain armed and intact.

The United States feared such attacks were an opportunity and withdrew some staff. In its public communications, the United States warned Iran to be firmly on the consequences of any attack on US targets.

What can happen if an American citizen is killed, say, in Tel Aviv or elsewhere?

Donald Trump may be forced to act. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long been accused of wanting to drag the United States to help him defeat Iran.

Military analysts say that only the United States has bombers and bombs that can penetrate the deepest of Iranian nuclear facilities, especially Fordow.

Trump has promised his constituency in Maga that the so -called “forever wars” in the Middle East will not begin. But just as many Republicans support both the Israeli government and his opinion that now is the time to seek a change in the regime in Tehran.

But if America has become an active combat, it would be a huge escalation with a long, potentially devastating sequential tail.

If Iran failed to damage the well-protected military and other goals of Israel, then it can always direct its rockets to softer goals in the bay, especially the countries that Iran believes have assisted and encouraged its enemies over the years.

There are many energy and infrastructure purposes in the region. Remember that Iran was accused of striking petroleum deposits of Saudi Arabia in 2019, and his Houthi proxy hit targets in the UAE in 2022.

Since then, there has been reconciliation between Iran and some countries in the region.

But these countries are hosted by US airbases. Some too – discreetly – helped protect Israel from Iran’s missile attack last year.

If the Persian Gulf has been attacked, it may also require US military aircraft to protect themselves as well as Israel.

What if the Israeli attack fails? What if Iran’s nuclear facilities are too deep, too well protected? What if 400 kg of 60% enrich the uranium-core fuel, which is only a small step away from being a completely weapon, enough for ten bombs or so-not destroyed?

It is believed that it can be hidden deep in the secret mines. Israel may have killed some nuclear scientists, but no bombs can destroy the know and expert experience of Iran.

What if Israel’s attack convinced Iran’s leadership that his only way to deter the more current attacks was to compete for nuclear ability as quickly as possible?

What if these new military leaders around the table are tighter and less cautious than their dead predecessors?

At the very least, this may force Israel to further attack, potentially binding the region in a continuous circle of strike and counter-Udar. Israelis have a brutal phrase for this strategy; They call it “mowing the grass”.

The price of oil is already rising.

What if Iran tries to close the Hormuz Strait by further limiting the oil movement?

What if – on the other side of the Arabian Peninsula – Huti in Yemen doubled their efforts to attack shipping in the Red Sea? They are the last left of Iran, the so -called proxy ally with an attempt at unpredictability and high -risk appetite.

Many countries around the world are already suffering from a living crisis. The increasing price of oil would add the inflation of a global economic system that was already creaking under the weight of Trump’s Tariff War.

And let’s not forget that a person who takes advantage of raising oil prices is President Putin of Russia, who will suddenly see billions of more dollars flood in the Kremlin’s cash registers to pay for his war against Ukraine.

What if Israel succeeds in its long -term goal to force the breakup of the Islamic revolutionary regime in Iran?

Netanyahu claims that his main purpose is to destroy Iran’s nuclear capacity. But he clarified in his statement yesterday that his wider goal included a change in the regime.

He told the “proud people of Iran” that his attack “clears the way to achieve his freedom” from what he called their “evil and depressing regime”.

The overthrow of the Iran government may appeal to some in the region, especially for some Israelis. But what vacuum can he leave? What are the unforeseen consequences? What would the civil conflict look like in Iran?

Many can remember what happened to both Iraq and Libya when a highly centralized government was removed.

So, it depends a lot on how this war progresses in the coming days.

How – and how hard – will I avenge Iran? And what restraint – if there is one – can the United States exercise for Israel?

Many of them will depend on the answer to these two questions.